While I lean towards the home team advancing, Sam Houston State has the defense to keep them in this game, and with a total this low I don’t expect either offense to run away from this one. The team is 12th in the country in 3-point percentage and needs to take advantage given that North Texas is top 10 in the nation in two-point percentage allowed. The key for Sam Houston State to stay within the number in a matchup that should have few possessions given that each team is outside the top 300 in adjusted tempo is to cash in from the perimeter. These two defenses play in your face, physical defense, each sporting an opponent free throw rate outside the top 300. These two teams played last season, a 65-55 win for UNT at home, but this Sam Houston State team is far better and should be able to avoid falling down 20 in the first half to the Mean Green.īoth teams are top 30 in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency rating and are loose with the ball, meaning that this game is going to future a lot of turnovers and contact underneath. North Texas odds, spread and total Sam Houston State vs. Here are the odds and our best bet for this NIT matchup: Sam Houston State vs. You can see that these are defensive minded teams by the incredibly low total of 116, yet the Mean Green are laying over two buckets against Sam Houston State. These are two similar teams that play slow and pride themselves on their intense ball pressure. Sam Houston State is in Denton, Texas at The Super Pit for NIT second round action.
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